PSX Morning Market Brief 22nd April 2022
Technical Overview
The Benchmark KSE100 index have completed 38% correction of its last bullish rally on hourly and dialy charts, meanwhile it's being supported by a descending trend line which previously was resistant trend line of its descending wedge therefore it can be said that retesting of this line as supportive region also have been completed. As of now it's expected that index would try to establish ground above 45,540pts-45,450pts region but breakout below this region even on hourly closing basis would push index towards 45,220pts where 50% correction of last bullish rally would be completed and a cheat pattern would take place on daily chart therefore index would need some healthy volumes to recover from that region and in case index would not succeed in getting required volumes it may start sliding further downward till 44,760pts and 44,300pts in coming days. Currently hourly momentum indicators are ready for a pullback but daily momentum is losing strength. For short term trading it's recommended to start buying in chunks with strict stop loss in selective scripts because if index would succeed in maintaining above its correction levels then it would start a bullish rally after cheat pattern in a very brisk way. For current trading session index would face initial resistance at 45,930pts which would be followed by 46,075pts and 46,200pts in case of bullish recovery. On a longer run its good time to build portfolio in chunks on dips.
Asian shares slide on Fed's aggressive tightening stance
sian shares tumbled on Friday as investors fretted about an increasingly aggressive rate-hike outlook for the United States as well as the fallout for the global economy from lockdowns in China.MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.1% in morning trade, its sharpest decline in six weeks.Pulling it lower was a 1.6% loss for Australia's resource-heavy index, a 1.1% drop in Hong Kong stocks and a 0.3% retreat for blue chips in mainland China.Japan's Nikkei lost about 2%.Overnight, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said a half-point interest rate increase will be "on the table" when the Fed meets in May, adding it would be appropriate to "be moving a little more quickly."
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Business News
FATF begins review of terrorist financing, money laundering
Ministers and officials from the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) 37-member countries and affiliates met in Washington on Thursday to discuss actions to tackle money laundering and terrorist financing.The meeting will decide FATF’s strategic direction for the next performance assessment of the countries on its watch list. Pakistan is also on this so-called grey list of countries that are still monitored for terrorist financing and money laundering activities within their jurisdictions.The discussions are part of the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the Board of Governors of World Bank Group that are held annually in Washington.US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is also attending the meeting, which marks the first time FATF ministers meet in-person in three years.
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Miftah leaves for US to meet IMF officials for revival of loan facility
Newly-appointed Finance Minister Miftah Ismail said on Thursday that he was leaving for Washington, where he was expected to meet International Monetary Fund (IMF) officials for the revival of a loan facility that was stalled following the premature end of the Imran Khan government earlier this month. Ismail, who has replaced Shaukat Tarin in the role of the country's finance czar in the new coalition setup, tweeted before leaving for Washington that the purpose of the visit was to "put back on track our IMF program that PTI and IK (Imran Khan) derailed, thus endangering our economy". He added that he would travel to London on the way, where he would meet PML-N supremo Nawaz Sharif.
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Foreign loans swell to $15b in Jul-Mar
The former government of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) took $15 billion gross foreign loans during its last nine months in power, bringing the total gross foreign borrowings to over $57 billion during its rule. The Ministry of Economic Affairs on Thursday released the foreign debt bulletin for July-March period of the current fiscal year. The figures were made public the day Pakistan’s outgoing Finance Minister Shaukat Tarin and his successor blamed each other about the worrying debt situation. Total loans received by the last government of former prime minister Imran Khan from July through March of the current fiscal year amounted to $15 billion, according to the data of the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). These include disbursement of $13.5 billion by the international creditors and nearly $1.4 billion by the overseas Pakistanis.
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Pakistan to buy expensive LNG again
The tender awarded to Pakistan LNG Limited (PLL) for the month of May is quite costly for the country mainly owing to supply-chain disruptions in the international market on the back of Russia-Ukraine war. The firm selected the lowest bid for liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes. Out of seven, six contract prices for LNG cargoes were received. The cargoes were sought on an urgent basis after earlier committed cargoes were cancelled. The lowest contract price for a cargo requested for May 1-2 delivery received at $29.67 per mmbtu from Total Energies Gas and Power. The second bid for the same delivery window was received from Vitol Bahrain at $29.79 per mmbtu. Pakistan, which has increased its dependence on LNG in recent years, due to depleting indigenous natural gas deposits, issued a separate tender for six deliveries in May and June earlier this month. Qatar Energy quoted the lowest bid for May 12-13 delivery at $25.15 per mmbtu and for the June 6-7 delivery window at $27.65 per mmbtu.
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